skuel

Research

Can AI predict what shoppers will buy?

We tested skuel on 36 million real shopping events. Using browsing behavior alone, it predicted which products would sell as accurately as models trained on years of data.

The test

We gave skuel anonymized browsing sessions from a major European e-commerce platform and asked it to predict how often each product would be bought. It saw no product names, descriptions, or images. Only how people browsed.

36Mbrowsing events across millions of shopping sessions
0training on this store's data. Comparison models trained on about 12,800 products.
100held-out products, scored the same way for every method

As accurate as trained models. Far ahead of a raw LLM.

skuel matched the deep neural network and came close to gradient boosting, the best trained model. Used on their own, GPT-5.5 and Claude Fable 5 made roughly four times the error.

Prediction error

Average gap between predicted and actual purchase rate. Shorter is better.

Gradient boosting
0.0066
skuel
0.0070
Deep neural net
0.0070
GPT-5.5
0.0257
Claude Fable 5
0.0278
00.0100.0200.030

Ranking products by sales

How well each method ordered products from best to worst seller. Longer is better.

Gradient boosting
0.454
skuel
0.429
Deep neural net
0.426
GPT-5.5
0.263
Claude Fable 5
0.177
00.10.20.30.40.5
skuel, no training on this dataTrained on ~12,800 productsFrontier LLM on its own

Why this matters for pricing. A trained model can only learn from offers you've already run. skuel reasons from behavior, so it can judge a price or promotion your store has never tried.

Cover of the skuel whitepaper, Test pricing before customers see it

Whitepaper · 2026

Test pricing before customers see it

  • How skuel turns browsing behavior into synthetic experiments
  • The full case study, method, and results
  • How skuel plans promotions under your goals and limits
  • Data, privacy, and integration
Open the PDF 8 pages · 5 MB